Key Takeaways

• Democrats take control of both chambers in January, but the vote arithmetic on tariff repeal leaves one central steel policy lever in a different place than the campaign rhetoric did.
• Industry sources say it is possible interest rates come down before the end of 2027, while the Federal Reserve’s own projections tell a different story, and the gap ties back to energy and AI spending.
• Two December 2027 deadlines, one inside the Section 232 schedule and one inside the federal energy tax code, fall within the next 14 months and touch Plate, Galvanized and equipment demand.

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