Key Takeaways

• Nucor’s consumer spot price for hot-rolled coil has reached a 14-month high, yet the gap between domestic steel and a critical input has expanded by a striking margin since January, signaling possible turning points ahead.
• Iron ore has climbed in eight of the last nine weeks while zinc surged to multi-month highs, prompting at least one major mill to lift coating extras for galvanized products with more producers likely to follow.
• The widening differential between domestic hot-rolled coil and prime scrap may not last, as imports become more competitive and capacity utilization climbs above 81 percent, raising questions about how much higher the rally can run.

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